I'm not disagreeing with you about the primary reasons Dubya is interested in the war; (although I think the oil issue is less important than you might think. I don't recall the figures, but IIRC the USA does not get very much of its own oil from that region. Europe is more heavily dependent on the Middle East for oil. And a war in the region is only going to make the oil more expensive.) he is most interested in the political support winning a war gets him in the States, I think.
I don't know that the poll is necessarily very useful. For one thing, while if asked for a poll whether or not we should fight they might answer no, if it actually happens many of those people really don't care enough about that issue to change their vote. Also, I suspect the poll may be biased more towards people who do care enough about the issue in the first place to bother answering it. And as such would be tilted towards the negative.
My own opinion is that we would be committing war crimes if we invaded without UN sanction; Iraq has done nothing directly to us, and an invasion for no slight, with no published evidence of breaking any international laws is, as far as I can see, wrong. (Although, IANAIL.)
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chiming
Re: Two things...
Date: January 24th, 2003 03:38 am (UTC)From:I don't know that the poll is necessarily very useful. For one thing, while if asked for a poll whether or not we should fight they might answer no, if it actually happens many of those people really don't care enough about that issue to change their vote. Also, I suspect the poll may be biased more towards people who do care enough about the issue in the first place to bother answering it. And as such would be tilted towards the negative.
My own opinion is that we would be committing war crimes if we invaded without UN sanction; Iraq has done nothing directly to us, and an invasion for no slight, with no published evidence of breaking any international laws is, as far as I can see, wrong. (Although, IANAIL.)